1

Mefie Toi

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Deauville · Cavalassur - Prix D'isigny Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS21/022C0 @ Marseille 04/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 136C0 @ Marseille-borely 03/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Hvy 1393/04C?C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 16/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y GS 136C5 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 13022/04C5C5 @ Marseille 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 131C5 @ ParisLongchamp 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1194/06C5C5 @ ParisLongchamp 15/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 121C5 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1352/07C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp?8th8th0
2026-06-15ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2026-06-04ParisLongchamp?3rd3rd0
2026-05-02Marseille?4th4th0
2026-04-22Chantilly?1st1st0
2026-04-16Salon-De-Provence?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0216/044/062/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
04/03/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
03/04/20265th15/261%60%-0.01
16/04/20266th15/261%62%+0.01
22/04/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
02/05/20264th10/1195%57%-0.38
04/06/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
15/06/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
02/07/20268th5/287%13%-0.74