Midnight Rodeo
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 76
Deauville · Cavalassur - Prix D'isigny Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-15 | Kempton | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-08-26 | Musselburgh | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-08-06 | Pontefract | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |