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13

Baileys Sans Doute

9yo Mare · 8-13

Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 9.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 12/12/2024 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 11912/12C?C0 @ Pornichet 22/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 128C5 @ Pornichet 05/01/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 1245/01C5C5 @ Pornichet 13/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 123C0 @ Pornichet 20/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 12020/02C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 10/06/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 116C0 @ Compiegne 21/07/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12421/07C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 08/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 120C0 @ Chantilly 06/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1236/12C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-06Chantilly?12th12th0
2025-11-08Lyon La Soie?7th7th0
2025-07-21Compiegne?14th14th0
2025-06-10Saint-Cloud?15th15th0
2025-02-20Pornichet?11th11th0
2025-02-13Pornichet?11th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1213/0221/076/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/202412th22/10%21%+0.21
22/12/202410th40/10%25%+0.25
05/01/202512th40/10%27%+0.27
13/02/202511th80/10%0%0.00
20/02/202511th40/10%9%+0.09
10/06/202515th40/10%7%+0.07
21/07/202514th40/10%7%+0.07
08/11/20257th40/10%40%+0.40
06/12/202512th33/10%15%+0.15