12

Chonburi

10yo Mare · 8-13

Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon La Soie 01/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1301/12C?4 @ Pornichet 27/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1324 @ Lyon La Soie 21/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12421/0344 @ Moulins 09/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1324 @ Saint-Cloud 24/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 12824/0444 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1254 @ Chantilly 19/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Ver 11619/0544 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 1304 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1292/074projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp413th13th0
2026-06-10Argentan412th12th0
2026-05-19Chantilly413th13th0
2026-05-04Chantilly44th4th0
2026-04-24Saint-Cloud415th15th0
2026-04-09Moulins411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/129/0419/052/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20254th7/282%75%-0.07
27/01/20268th8/158%22%-0.36
21/03/20269th50/10%43%+0.43
09/04/202611th18/15%0%-0.05
24/04/202615th28/10%7%+0.07
04/05/20264th80/10%80%+0.80
19/05/202613th22/10%20%+0.20
10/06/202612th12/137%8%-0.29
02/07/202613th40/10%14%+0.14