1
Detesnouvelles
7yo Mare · 9-6
Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 15
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 06/12/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 17/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 02/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 04/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.19 |