2

Golden Trip

6yo Mare · 9-6

Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 29/09/2024 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 12729/09C?C0 @ Chantilly 03/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 128C0 @ Compiegne 30/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 13030/05C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1203 @ Chantilly 20/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS20/0233 @ Chantilly 12/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 13214/0444 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1304 @ Chantilly 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 13124/064projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-24Chantilly47th7th0
2026-05-04Chantilly46th6th0
2026-04-14Chantilly43rd3rd0
2026-03-12Chantilly310th9th+1
2026-02-20Chantilly310th9th+1
2025-07-11Clairefontaine?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0911/0714/0424/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/202412th33/10%0%0.00
03/04/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
30/05/202510th18/15%40%+0.35
11/07/202515th40/10%0%0.00
20/02/202610th18/15%10%+0.05
12/03/202610th33/10%25%+0.25
14/04/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
04/05/20266th9/153%67%+0.14
24/06/20267th3/184%33%-0.51