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8

Highfield Heiress

5yo Filly · 9-2

Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 26/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 12426/08C?C0 @ Le Mans 12/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 124C0 @ Compiegne 10/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12110/10C?C0 @ Amiens 29/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m44y Hvy 1323 @ Chantilly 20/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS20/0233 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ ParisLongchamp 16/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12416/0444 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 50 · 7f209y Hvy 124 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 50 par4 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1209/064projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Compiegne42nd2nd0
2026-05-20Compiegne45th5th0
2026-04-16ParisLongchamp49th9th0
2026-03-19Saint-Cloud315th14th+1
2026-02-20Chantilly311th10th+1
2025-10-29Amiens?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0829/1016/049/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20256th14/126%64%+0.38
12/09/202510th13/266%31%-0.35
10/10/20255th20/10%71%+0.71
29/10/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
20/02/202611th33/10%0%0.00
19/03/202615th18/15%7%+0.01
16/04/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
20/05/20265th15/261%69%+0.09
09/06/20262nd10/147%93%+0.46