7

Nathepolo
8yo Mare · 9-2
Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#15
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Argentan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Compiegne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Argentan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Pornichet | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 02/10/2024 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 62% | -0.21 |
| 26/10/2024 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/11/2024 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 26/06/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/07/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/07/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/10/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 46% | -0.30 |
| 21/10/2025 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.20 |