7

Nathepolo

8yo Mare · 9-2

Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#15

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 26/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f91y Sft 13226/08C?C0 @ Toulouse 02/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 121C0 @ Chantilly 26/10/2024 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 11426/10C?C0 @ Pornichet 23/11/2024 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 118C0 @ Argentan 26/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 12926/06C?C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 09/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y GS 118C0 @ Compiegne 21/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12421/07C?C0 @ Argentan 08/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 127C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 21/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12121/10C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-21Bordeaux Le Bouscat?15th15th0
2025-10-08Argentan?8th8th0
2025-07-21Compiegne?10th10th0
2025-07-09Senonnes-Pouance?9th9th0
2025-06-26Argentan?7th7th0
2024-11-23Pornichet?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0823/1121/0721/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20243rd9/276%78%+0.01
02/10/20246th10/382%62%-0.21
26/10/202414th16/116%0%-0.16
23/11/202413th16/116%14%-0.02
26/06/20257th22/10%45%+0.45
09/07/20259th33/10%38%+0.38
21/07/202510th22/10%36%+0.36
08/10/20258th9/276%46%-0.30
21/10/202515th14/126%7%-0.20