9
Time To Parley
7yo Mare · 9-2
Deauville · Prix De Brestot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 05/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/12/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/01/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |