6

Dahariz

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Deauville · Prix De Valletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5731
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6885.1 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5735.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -5731.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12527/0244 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Hvy 1203 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS13/0334 @ Nantes 31/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1234 @ Argentan 09/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 1289/0444 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f152y Gd 1293 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS2/07334392 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1254 @ Saint-Malo 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 13222/074projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Saint-Malo44th4th0
2026-07-12Deauville343927th41273th34388
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp313th12th+1
2026-04-21Le Mans413th13th0
2026-04-09Argentan43rd3rd0
2026-03-31Nantes46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0231/032/0722/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20267th20/10%57%+0.57
04/03/20264th22/10%79%+0.79
13/03/20266th10/147%64%+0.17
31/03/20266th11/271%50%-0.21
09/04/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09
21/04/202613th6/168%8%-0.61
02/07/202613th28/10%14%+0.14
12/07/20267th33/10%57%+0.57
22/07/20264th14/126%75%+0.49