13

Diamonds
4yo Filly · 8-11
Deauville · Prix De Valletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#14
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Pornichet | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 62% | -0.02 |
| 12/12/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 31% | -0.27 |
| 02/01/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/02/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 13/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 42% | -0.00 |