13

Diamonds

4yo Filly · 8-11

Deauville · Prix De Valletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#14

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 28/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12528/11C?C0 @ Deauville 12/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 127C0 @ Deauville 02/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1222/01C?4 @ Pornichet 19/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1273 @ Deauville 07/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS7/0234 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1304 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f156y Hvy 13013/0344 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1294 @ Le Lion D'angers 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12924/074projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Le Lion D'angers48th8th0
2026-07-12Deauville44th4th0
2026-03-13Senonnes-Pouance412th12th0
2026-02-27Pornichet46th6th0
2026-02-07Deauville311th10th+1
2026-01-19Pornichet44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1119/0113/0324/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20256th7/163%62%-0.02
12/12/202510th8/158%31%-0.27
02/01/202613th40/10%8%+0.08
19/01/20264th25/10%80%+0.80
07/02/202611th25/10%29%+0.29
27/02/20266th16/116%64%+0.48
13/03/202612th25/10%0%0.00
12/07/20264th40/10%80%+0.80
24/07/20268th11/142%42%-0.00