4
La Javanaise
9yo Mare · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De Valletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲11462
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6889.2 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C11466.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -11462.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 4th | 41270th | −34388 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Deauville | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Chantilly | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 54% | -0.01 |
| 01/11/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 10/11/2025 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/12/2025 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/05/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |