5

Polminhac

7yo Gelding · 9-5

Deauville · Prix De Valletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#2

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move34388
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6884.6 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C34392.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -34388.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 23/12/2024 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12723/12C?C0 @ Deauville 08/04/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128C0 @ Deauville 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1295/07C?C0 @ Deauville 07/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 156C0 @ Deauville 26/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 13026/08C?C0 @ Deauville 06/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 132C0 @ Deauville 25/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12925/11C?C0 @ Deauville 29/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12934392 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 12412/0734392projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Deauville343923rd41269th34388
2025-12-29Deauville?12th12th0
2025-11-25Deauville?6th6th0
2025-11-06Deauville?3rd3rd0
2025-08-26Deauville?9th9th0
2025-08-07Deauville?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/127/0825/1112/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/12/202412th40/10%27%+0.27
08/04/202514th14/126%13%-0.13
05/07/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
07/08/20259th8/158%38%-0.19
26/08/20259th18/15%47%+0.41
06/11/20253rd20/10%87%+0.87
25/11/20256th13/266%67%+0.01
29/12/202512th8/158%27%-0.31
12/07/20263rd22/10%86%+0.86