15
Qui Evidament Qui
4yo Filly · 8-11
Deauville · Prix De Valletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#15
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 21/09/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 14/10/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 02/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/06/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |