2
Cogolin
8yo Gelding · 9-6
Deauville · Prix De Bouquetot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Nancy | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 47% | -0.06 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |