3
Harrison Point
9yo Gelding · 9-6
Deauville · Prix De Bouquetot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 28/04/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |