4
Miss Davier
4yo Filly · 9-6
Deauville · Prix De Bouquetot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 18% | -0.66 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 02/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 22/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 79% | +0.05 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |