13
Seigneur
7yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Bouquetot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 23/01/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.21 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |