5
Charlesquint
9yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Colletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 14/01/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 27/01/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 18/02/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |
| 28/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |