6
Golden Beach
7yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Colletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 06/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 14/05/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 9% | -0.70 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |