11
Massa Chop
7yo Gelding · 9-2
Deauville · Prix De Colletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 30/12/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/01/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 7% | -0.35 |
| 30/01/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/02/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 10/04/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |