12
Mowgli
6yo Gelding · 8-13
Deauville · Prix De Colletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 24/10/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/11/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 30/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 17/04/2026 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 19/07/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 23% | -0.24 |