7
Neuschwanstein
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Colletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/04/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 54% | -0.01 |
| 12/05/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.20 |
| 25/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |