13
Spirit Grey
6yo Gelding · 8-12
Deauville · Prix De Colletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |