9

Vesco

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Deauville · Prix De Colletot Handicap - Awt · 1m 1f 97y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Deauville 16/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 13216/0134 @ Pornichet 27/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1234 @ Pornichet 05/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1275/0244 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1274 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Hvy 1234/0344 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Hvy 1324 @ Evreux 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 13015/044C5 @ Evreux 26/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1343 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12511/073projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Clairefontaine36th6th0
2026-05-26Evreux?7th9th2
2026-04-15Evreux41st2nd1
2026-03-13Senonnes-Pouance48th9th1
2026-03-04Le Mans411th12th1
2026-02-27Pornichet42nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0127/0215/0411/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/202612th18/15%15%+0.10
27/01/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
05/02/202612th14/126%21%-0.05
27/02/20262nd18/15%91%+0.86
04/03/202611th14/126%29%+0.02
13/03/20268th11/142%53%+0.11
15/04/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
26/05/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
11/07/20266th50/10%64%+0.64