
Claim The Stars
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 61
Deauville · Prix De Pre-en-pail Claiming Stakes - Awt · 7f 100y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Deauville | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 16/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 01/09/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 31% | -0.38 |
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 54% | -0.12 |
| 28/10/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 08/11/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/12/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |