1
Dorianello
6yo Gelding · 9-8
Deauville · Prix De Pre-en-pail Claiming Stakes - Awt · 7f 100y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 27/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |