5
Druide
6yo Gelding · 9-1
Deauville · Prix De Pre-en-pail Claiming Stakes - Awt · 7f 100y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Nantes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.03 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |