6
Franciscano
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Deauville · Prix De Pre-en-pail Claiming Stakes - Awt · 7f 100y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength31%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/10/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 02/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 23/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 22/04/2026 | 14th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 20/07/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |