2
Heracles
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix De Pre-en-pail Claiming Stakes - Awt · 7f 100y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength35%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Deauville | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 58% | -0.32 |
| 06/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 46% | -0.25 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 22/01/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |