7

Prince A Rio
5yo Gelding · 8-11
Deauville · Prix De Pre-en-pail Claiming Stakes - Awt · 7f 100y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-24 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-04 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-02-14 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-01-24 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-12-30 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 07/05/2024 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 13/06/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 30/12/2024 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/01/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/02/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 04/03/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 24/03/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.12 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |