2

Hollie Wood

3yo Filly · 9-2

Deauville · Prix Du Cochet Claiming Stakes - Awt · 6f 101y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12727/02C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 127C0 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12826/04C?C0 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 125C0 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12721/05C?C0 @ Craon 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 134C5 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 11819/06C5C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f156y GS 130C5 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1289/07C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp?4th4th0
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance?4th4th0
2026-06-19Chantilly?2nd2nd0
2026-06-04Craon?2nd2nd0
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp?13th13th0
2026-05-04Chantilly?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/024/0519/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength66%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20266th20/10%50%+0.50
17/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
26/04/20267th40/10%60%+0.60
04/05/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
21/05/202613th20/10%20%+0.20
04/06/20262nd9/153%92%+0.40
19/06/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14
02/07/20264th9/488%70%-0.18
09/07/20264th9/488%57%-0.31