1
It's Pistachio
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Deauville · Prix Du Cochet Claiming Stakes - Awt · 6f 101y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength48%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 2 | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-18 | Marseille-borely | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |