IvyArcIvyArc
4

Monarco

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Deauville · Prix Du Cochet Claiming Stakes - Awt · 6f 101y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 16/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12816/03C5C5 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f156y GS 1288/06C5C5 @ Cholet 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f156y GS 12830/06C5C5 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12320/07C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Vichy?1st1st0
2026-06-30Cholet?7th7th0
2026-06-08Angers?5th5th0
2026-03-16Chantilly?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/038/0630/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/202611th40/10%17%+0.17
08/06/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
30/06/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
20/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39