6
Orya
3yo Filly · 9-1
Deauville · Prix Du Cochet Claiming Stakes - Awt · 6f 101y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 12/07/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |