IvyArcIvyArc
7

Sbikha

3yo Filly · 8-11

Deauville · Prix Du Cochet Claiming Stakes - Awt · 6f 101y

#1

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

81%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 10/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 12210/03C5C0 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 131C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12020/04C5C0 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 127C5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 5f102y Gd 12017/05C5C0 @ Craon 04/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 131C5 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f101y Gd 12410/06C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Gd 124C0 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12912/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Deauville?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch?1st1st0
2026-06-10Argentan?1st1st0
2026-06-04Craon?6th6th0
2026-05-17Le Croise-Laroche?5th5th0
2026-05-04Chantilly?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/034/0510/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength61%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/03/20266th22/10%17%+0.17
02/04/202611th33/10%29%+0.29
20/04/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
04/05/20267th14/126%60%+0.34
17/05/20265th11/486%69%-0.16
04/06/20266th10/147%62%+0.14
10/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
26/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
12/07/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60