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5

Break Dance

3yo Filly · 8-5

Deauville · Prix De La Villa Monet Handicap - Awt · 6f 101y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

87%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 23/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12423/10C5C5 @ Deauville 28/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12828/11C51 @ Chantilly 08/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1228/0312 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12221/042projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-21Le Mans23rd3rd0
2026-03-08Chantilly17th7th0
2025-11-28Deauville?1st1st0
2025-10-23Deauville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1028/118/0321/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20255th6/168%33%-0.35
28/11/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
08/03/20267th40/10%50%+0.50
21/04/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19