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4

Pen And Sword

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Deauville · Prix De La Villa Monet Handicap - Awt · 6f 101y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 01/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f102y GS 1281/06C5C5 @ Vichy 18/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12018/07C5C1 @ Deauville 09/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 4f213y GS 1279/08C1C1 @ ParisLongchamp 31/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12531/08C11 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1256/0212 @ Chantilly 03/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1253/0321 @ Chantilly 28/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12528/041projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-28Chantilly19th9th0
2026-03-03Chantilly23rd3rd0
2026-02-06Deauville14th4th0
2025-08-31ParisLongchamp?9th9th0
2025-08-09Deauville?7th7th0
2025-07-18Vichy?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0631/0828/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20254th8/158%63%+0.05
18/07/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
09/08/20257th16/116%0%-0.16
31/08/20259th80/10%11%+0.11
06/02/20264th18/15%40%+0.35
03/03/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
28/04/20269th14/126%27%+0.01