3
A Rousing Babe
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 69
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |