Buds N Suds
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 83
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 28/12/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |