Headed For Om
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 92
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 16/02/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 17/03/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 25/04/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 25/05/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/07/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |