Nokie
7yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 94
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-10-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2024-09-02 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 02/02/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 05/08/2024 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 02/09/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 13/10/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 25/04/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 14/06/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |