4
Rock N Roll Song
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 85
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 06/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |