2
Victoria's Jewel
3yo Filly · 8-4 · OR 57
Del Mar · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength31%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 08/12/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 90% | -0.06 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |