Cecilia Street
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 94
Del Mar · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | BHA81 | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-01-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |