1
Christel Clean
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 98
Del Mar · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |