3
Dorie Miller
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 96
Del Mar · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 33% | -0.63 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |