6

Lino's Angel

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 89

Del Mar · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 30/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark30/11/2025 · OR 65 par30/11C6OR 65C6 @ Santa Anita 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 66 · 6f Fm 120 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 66 parC6 @ Santa Anita 23/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 73 par23/01C6OR 73C6 @ Santa Anita 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 80 parC6 @ Santa Anita 27/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Fm 122 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 80 par27/03C6OR 80C5 @ Santa Anita 04/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Santa Anita 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 82 par23/05C5OR 82C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 85 · 1m 118 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Del Mar 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 85 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 85 par25/07C5OR 85projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Del Mar?5th4th+1
2026-07-05Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23Santa Anita?4th3rd+1
2026-04-04Santa Anita?4th3rd+1
2026-03-27Santa Anita?5th5th0
2026-02-21Santa Anita?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1121/0223/0525/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/11/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
09/01/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07
23/01/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
21/02/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
27/03/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
04/04/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
23/05/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
05/07/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
25/07/20265th25/10%50%+0.50