6

Instinctively

2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77

Del Mar · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 12015/05C6C6 @ Santa Anita 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 5f Fas 120 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 80 par14/06C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Santa Anita?3rd3rd0
2026-05-15Santa Anita?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0514/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
14/06/20263rd15/261%71%+0.11