6
Daddygaveittome
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 70
Del Mar · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |